Archive for Robert Prechter

How DEEP Will Cuts in Government Services Go?

Plus: The check is STILL in the mail. By Elliott Wave International “Localities have chopped 535,000 positions since September 2008…” USA Today (10/18) Cuts in government services became conspicuous after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. The first edition of Robert Prechter’s Conquer the Crash saw this coming, even though the book published nearly a decade ago: [...]

“Market Manipulation” Is Not Why Most Traders Lose

A look at EWI president Robert Prechter’s requirements for successful trading By Elliott Wave International How often have you heard analysts refer to a down day on Wall Street as “traders taking profits”? Sounds great, but the sobering fact is that most traders — in futures, commodities, or forex — lose money. Any book on [...]

The Stock Market Is Not Physics: Part I

By Elliott Wave International The following series is excerpted from two classic issues of Robert Prechter’s Elliott Wave Theorist. Although originally published in 2004, the valuable series has been re-released in the Independent Investor eBook, along with over 100 pages of other reports that challenge conventional economic thinking. Here is Part 1 of the series. [...]

Prechter: “The Trend Is Exhausted”

What is the real problem with today’s market? Watch this excerpt from Robert Prechter’s special, video issue of the August 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist. Prechter shows you how the buildup of dollar-denominated debt has brought us to what he calls a critical market juncture.

“Darkest Days” for the Economy: Behind Us, or Just Ahead?

Many people still talk about a “recovery,” or at worst only see a possible double-dip recession. But what if the mistake was to think the economy was only in a recession in the first place? It can’t “double-dip” when it never truly recovered:

“Your Work Helps Me in a Very Practical Way” – Robert Prechter Interview

Robert Prechter offers a broad overview of the Wave Principle in this interview clip with The Mind of Money host, Douglass Lodmell. As Bob explains, “The work we do is so different from what other people do.” Enjoy listening to Bob explain how the Wave Principle differs from fundamental analysis and how it can help you to anticipate important turns and changes in the markets.

How Do You Get from Dow Theory to Elliott Wave Analysis?

If you are interested in Elliott wave analysis, odds are that you have also heard of Dow Theory, whose best and longest-lived proponent is Richard Russell. (Best wishes to Richard as he recovers his health.) This excerpt from Prechter’s Perspective explains how Elliott wave analysis and Dow Theory are connected. We wanted to run it now in honor of the 160th anniversary of the birth of Charles Dow, which the Market Technicians Association celebrates on Wall Street on Thursday, November 3, 2011.

Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part III

Congress authorized the Fed not only to create money for the government but also to “smooth out” the economy by manipulating credit (which also happens to be a re-election tool for incumbents). Politics being what they are, this manipulation has been almost exclusively in the direction of making credit easy to obtain. The Fed used to make more credit available to the banking system by monetizing federal debt, that is, by creating money. Under the structure of our “fractional reserve” system, banks were authorized to employ that new money as “reserves” against which they could make new loans. Thus, new money meant new credit.

Robert Prechter Explains The Fed, Part II

Let’s attempt to define what gives the dollar objective value. As we will see in the next section, the dollar is “backed” primarily by government bonds, which are promises to pay dollars. So today, the dollar is a promise backed by a promise to pay an identical promise. What is the nature of each promise? If the Treasury will not give you anything tangible for your dollar…

Did the Past 7 Weeks of Rally Lull You to Sleep?

Bear markets are cunning beasts. Don’t get me wrong — we are not in the bear market territory yet. At least, not officially. An “official” bear market begins when the stocks indexes decline 20%. The DJIA’s decline from the May 2, 2011 high to the September 21 low is about 17%. Close, but no cigar.

It’s All the Same Market in a Deflationary Environment

On September 22, the Dow and S&P opened down over 2.5%. Oil was down, copper was down, and even GOLD was down sharply. Watch this video excerpt from Robert Prechter’s special video issue of the August Elliott Wave Theorist where he explains what is causing diverse markets such as these to move together in today’s environment.

Read Excerpts From Robert Prechter’s Newest Theorists in This Free Report

Bob Prechter has just released a FREE report — with urgent analysis from his August and September 2011 Elliott Wave Theorist market letters. It will help you put these uncertain markets into perspective so that you’ll be better positioned to both protect your investments when needed and prosper when opportunities arise.

Why This Popular Investment Strategy Will Not Save Your Portfolio

You probably know that the purpose of diversification is to spread risk across asset classes. The assumption is that if one asset goes down, the others will be stable or perhaps even move up.

Those Steely-Eyes of J.P. Morgan: Could They Help Us Today?

“The Panic of 1907″ vs. the “Debt Crisis” of 2011 By Elliott Wave International If “legendary Wall Street figure” ever described anyone, it was turn-of-the-last-century financier J.P. Morgan. You can throw in “bigger than life” to boot. Morgan was used to getting his way. His steely eyes cast a “ferocious glare.” His bulbous nose added [...]

Behind Closed Doors at the Fed: Ten Years of Research into America’s Central Bank

Foreign powers have been irate over the Fed’s deliberate inflating policy. At its outset, QE2 generated ‘a chorus of criticism’ from China, Russia, Japan, Brazil and Germany. It prompted one of China’s three credit rating services to lower its rating on U.S. debt from AA to A+, on the basis that QE2 is a scheme to defraud the Treasury’s creditors.

Prechter Discusses Market Forecasts on CNBC Closing Bell

Robert Prechter joins CNBC hosts Bill Griffeth and Maria Bartiromo on Closing Bell to talk about the still-unfolding forecasts presented in his New York Times bestseller Conquer the Crash

Read About the Elliott Wave Principle in R.N. Elliott’s Own Words on his Birthday

July 28 would have been Ralph N. Elliott’s 140th birthday, so it’s a fitting time to post an excerpt from his essay, “The Basis of the Wave Principle.” There’s nothing like reading for yourself what the discoverer of the Wave Principle wrote about how it works.

A Four-Chart Lesson in Spotting Trade Setups

You can find low-risk, high-probability trading opportunities by trading with the trend. The trick is to find the end of market corrections, so you can position yourself for the next move in the direction of the trend.