Archive for Forex Articles

Gap Reports Better Than Anticipated Preliminary Results

Gap (NYSE:GPS) reported preliminary Q4 EPS of $0.41 – $0.42, beating estimates of $0.35 per share. Revenues in the quarter came in at $4.28 billion which was inline with consensus estimates.In respect to the company’s sales, January comparable sales slipped 4% vs. estimates for a 5.1% decline. For the other Gap brands such as Gap North American, Old Navy, and Banana Republic sales all dropped close to 6% in the quarter. International sales were down 10%.Gap Inc should find initial support at its 200-day moving average (MA) of $18.59 and further support at its 50-day MA of $18.54.

Allergan Reports Inline Results And Gives Mixed Guidance

Allergan (NYSE:AGN) reported Q4 EPS of $1.00, inline with estimates. Revenues came in at $1.4 billion, which was also inline with estimates as well.Allergan said it sees 2012 EPS of $4.13 – $4.19, vs. estimates of $4.21.The company sees Q1 EPS of $0.84 – $0.86, vs. estimates of $0.91 and said it sees 2012 product sales of $5.65 billion – $5.85 billion, vs. estimates of $5.89 billion.

Green Mountain Coffee Shares Rise After Posting Top Earnings

Green Mountain Coffee (NASDAQ:GMCR) shares rose Thursday morning after the company announced quarterly earnings on Wednesday. The company reported Q1 revenue of $1.16 billion and net income rose to $104 million from $2.4 million.Investment bank, Roth Capital continues to believe that sales of the company and earnings should increase rapidly.Shares shot up 22% in morning trading to $65.35 from $53.63. On the same day a year ago, shares closed at $33.25.Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (NASDAQ:GMCR) has potential upside of 26.4% based on a current price of $65.2 and an average consensus analyst price target of $82.4.

NYSE Euronext, Deutsche Boerse End Business Deal

NYSE Euronext (NYSE:NYX) and Deutsche Boerse announced today that they were ending their yearlong merger push, in the light of the decision by the European Commission to block the proposed merger agreement.Both companies originally signed the business combination agreement on February 15, 2011.NYSE Euronext (NYSE:NYX) has potential upside of 27.8% based on a current price of $26.75 and an average consensus analyst price target of $34.18.

Hewlett-Packard Announces Recall of Over 1 Million Fax Machines Due To Fire and Burn Hazards

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) issues a voluntary recall of 928,000 HP fax 1040 and 1050 machines in th eU.S. and 240,000 of the same machines in Canada and Mexico. The fax machines can overheat due to an internal electrical component failure, posing fire and burn hazards.Hewlett-Packard is aware of seven reports of fax machines overheating and catching fire, resulting in property damage, including one instance of significant property damage and one instance of a minor burn injury to a consumer’s finger. Six incidents were reported in the U.S. and one in Canada.Hewlett-Packard (NYSE:HPQ) has potential upside of 8% based on a current price of $28.59 and an average consensus analyst price target of $30.88.

Amazon Launches Junglee.com In India

Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) has launched a new site in India, Jungalee.com, which is a watered-down version of its global shipping portal.The site allows shoppers to compare prices, though most actual purchases must be made through third-party retailers.Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) has potential upside of 32.8% based on a current price of $177.26 and an average consensus analyst price target of $235.44.

Buying Guns, Magazines and Petrol With Silver…

By MoneyMorning.com.au

A few days ago, it was rumoured India and Iran agreed to trade in hard assets… India will give Iran gold. In exchange, Iran will give India oil.

This is a huge trade. India imports about US$12 billion of Iranian oil each year. To give you an idea, $12 billion dollars of oil equals about 6.87 million ounces of gold!

In one transaction both countries have ignored the value of paper dollars. Instead, they’ve bartered one commodity for the other.

The thing is, the Indian-Iranian deal isn’t the first to use bullion as payment. But it may be the first on billion-dollar scale.

But one thing’s for sure. It’s further evidence that the way we value paper money is changing.

In fact, paying with bullion is happening more than you may think. It’s not just gold either. Consumers are using silver for smaller transactions…

Take the case of a US blogger. He recently revealed that two different people bought guns from him on eBay with silver coins.

Then there’s the Backwoods Home magazine in the US. If you don’t want to pay in cash, you can pay your subscription in silver coins.

Or the Oregon Service station that’ll reduce the cost of petrol to 20 cents a gallon if you pay using old coins…

cost of petrol

At the time this photo was taken in May last year, two pre-1964 silver dimes were worth $5 based on their 90% silver content. Gas prices in America were nearing $4 a gallon at the time.

And there’s even a mini mart in Los Angeles that prefers junk silver instead of greenbacks as payment for your groceries….

(NB: Junk silver simply refers to American coins pre-1965, which have 40% to 90% silver content. See this video to find out more.)

It’s clear there’s a growing number of people and businesses who are ditching paper money for real assets.

Smart Knowledge is an investment newsletter service that firmly supports the gold standard. To the extent that they only offer memberships priced in ounces of gold….If you’re after their premium membership service, that’ll be 5.75 ounces, thank you.

And in September last year, Donald Trump accepted a $176,000 deposit for a commercial lease in one of his skyscrapers. But not in cash or a cheque. The company taking the lease (APMEX a precious metals investment firm) paid the deposit using three 32-ounce gold bullion bars.

It might look like a marketing stunt. But Trump’s not alone to wanting to do business with the shiny yellow metal.

In November 2010, the ICE Europe futures exchange started accepting gold bullion as a margin deposit for its crude oil and natural gas futures. Less than two months later, JP Morgan announced it would accept physical gold as collateral for some trades.

According to a Casey Research report from March last year…

‘The World Gold Council is gaining traction in its push to have the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision accept the precious metals as a Tier-1 asset for banks, along with government bonds and currencies.’

It’s surprising that precious metals aren’t already considered a top notch asset for a bank.

But maybe these few transactions are just a sign of things to come.

Because using real assets, like gold, as payment could continue to happen on a billion-dollar scale. And the more it occurs, the more it shows that people are losing faith in the US currency and paper money in general.

The world’s reserve currency is losing partners willing to trade in it. Iran has managed to completely avoid getting stuck with potentially worthless US dollars by snapping up a tangible asset.

Ironically, that puts Iran in the same camp as Donald Trump. Both are buying gold!

Now, this doesn’t mean we’ve returned to the gold standard… yet. But consumer and business trading in gold is a sign some people value precious metals more than cash.

As more and more merchants open up to the possibility of trading with bullion, maybe it won’t be long until gold is used as money for every day transactions… whether governments like it or not.

Shae Smith
Editor, Money Weekend

Ed Note: Gold and silver will be two of the big themes at the first ever Port Phillip Publishing investing conference. Held in Sydney next month, attendees will hear firsthand from Kris Sayce and Dr. Alex Cowie on where the markets are headed this year and which assets you should buy to profit. It’s not too late to book your seat for this exclusive event. Click here for details

The Most Important Story This Week

Dr. Alex Cowie is the editor of our resource newsletter Diggers & Drillers. He also has to sleep somewhere at night. We all do – hence the constant debate over real estate in Australia. Last year Alex sold his property in Melbourne and parked the proceeds elsewhere. In this article, he breaks down why he is bearish on Aussie property. It’s a calculated approach we all should be considering.

Other Highlights This Week

Is Ben Bernanke Secretly Buying Gold and Silver Stocks?
By Dr. Alex Cowie

Institutional investors rely on precious metal price forecasts to work out how to value gold stocks. So, higher gold and silver price forecasts will lead to higher gold and silver stock valuations and prices. Something very interesting has already happened with analysts’ gold price forecasts recently. For the first time, they are starting to forecast gold prices to go up…

How Warren Buffett Plays the Tortoise and Not the Hare
By Greg Canavan

Investing is a marathon. Slow and steady wins the race. Trying to catch every rally and moving from one sector to the next ‘hot’ area of the market is a mug’s game. It makes you feel like you’re doing something but you’re really just chasing your tail…

How to Win Even if the Australian Stock Market Doesn’t Go Up
By Kris Sayce

In fact, we’ll argue the best time to buy risky assets is when the market is at its most risky. Mainly because the market has priced in much of the doom and gloom. And while we won’t say the market is at its most risky today, it’s pretty darn close to it. What’s more, it seems even the pros are giving up…

Your Money is Better Off in Stocks Than in the Housing Market in 2012
By Kris Sayce

If you’re an investor who’s concerned about the future, do you really want to take out a six-figure mortgage and pay tens of thousands of dollars in buying and holding costs? Or would you rather stick cash in the bank and take a few speculative punts on the stock market?


Buying Guns, Magazines and Petrol With Silver…

Analyst Moves: RIMM, ANF

Research in Motion (RIMM) was downgraded today by Jefferies (JEF) to underperform from hold with a price target of $15 price target, ad the company may delay or abandon plans to license its OS. Shares are lower by over 1.3 percent.

Turkcell: Benefiting from an Emerging Markets Rally

By The Sizemore Letter

You know that you’re up against some fierce competition when a stock you recommend is up by more than double the S&P 500’s return and yet you’re in 5th place.  Yet such is life in early 2012.

Turkcell (NYSE: $TKC), my pick for the InvestorPlace “10 Best Stocks for 2012” contest, is off to a great start.  Through February 1, the stock was up 12 percent for the year, compared to the 5.5 percent gains in the S&P 500.

With the January rally in industrials and materials firms, Caterpillar (NYSE: $CAT) and Alcoa (NYSE: $AA) jumped out to an early start, up 22 percent and 18 percent, respectively.  Long-time Sizemore Investment Letter recommendation Microsoft (Nasdaq: $MSFT) has also enjoyed a nice bounce this year, up 15 percent.  But the real winner so far has been medical device maker Mako Pharmaceutical (Nasdaq: $MAKO), up a remarkable 44 percent.

The best performing stocks on the list are some of the most cyclical, and I am quite happy to see that.  It means that investor risk appetites are returning.   Barring a major blowup coming out of Europe, I expect this to continue and I recommend that investors maintain over-weighted positions in the beaten-down markets of Europe and emerging markets.

2011 was a bad year for emerging markets in general and Turkish stocks in particular, and the strong start to 2012 leads me to believe the rout is officially over.  All things in life are fleeting, and perhaps nothing more so than stock market gains.  Still, buying shares of world-class companies when their prices are temporarily depressed is as close to a fool-proof investment strategy as I have ever seen, and the 2011 emerging market bear market has given us a great opportunity in Turkcell.

Vote for Turkcell

Apparently, republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney agrees. Upon releasing his tax returns to public scrutiny, it was revealed that the former Massachusetts governor is a Turkcell shareholder.

In past articles, I written about the virtues of following the trades of other investors (see “When in Doubt, Follow the Greats”).  I’m not so sure Mr. Romney qualifies, but his ownership of the shares certainly raises their profile.

In other news, Turkcell confirmed recent media reports saying it is interested in acquiring Bulgarian telecom operator Vivacom.   An expanded presence in Bulgaria would be a natural growth strategy for Turkcell.  In addition to expanding in its home market, which is still far from saturated, Turkcell continues to establish itself as a leading telecom provider in Eastern Europe and the Middle East.  Turkcell faces stiff competition for assets and new consumers in these markets from Britain’s Vodafone (NYSE: $VOD), among others, though the company has repeatedly proven that it can compete against its much larger rivals.

2012 is off to a great start, and I expect it to be a very profitable year for emerging market investors.

 

2 Solar Energy Stocks to Watch

Solar Energy Stocks

While the story for solar power in the developed world has been nothing investors can clap about, they might find something worth their applause in emerging markets.

For a majority of the world, solar power costs much more than energy from conventional power plants, particularly if you include battery costs for storing energy. But for those living in undeveloped regions, solar power actually offers substantial benefits in cost.

The dropping prices of polysilicon, coupled with other technological advances, are opening up an enormous market for solar power. Along with some incredible buying opportunities for solar energy stocks.

Currently there are about 1.3 billion people around the globe who live in areas that have no access to grid electricity. And while most of these people are very poor, they actually pay a lot more for lighting their homes than people in developed countries.

Why are people paying more for lighting in undeveloped areas?

Because they’re using inefficient kerosene lamps, an archaic technology widely used almost a century ago in the United States.

It Makes Economic Sense

Today, kerosene lamp lighting costs twice as much compared to solar power.

Then there’s safety.

It’s estimated that 1.6 million people are killed each year due to indoor air pollution caused by burning kerosene, not to mention the deaths that occur from fires. And safe, solar powered bulbs can be 10 to 20 times brighter than kerosene lamps.

The switch to solar isn’t just for providing safer and cheaper light; there’s another power demand on the rise… mobile phones.

Mobile phones have become increasingly popular in Africa, where half the population of one billion now has a mobile phone. But in order for many to charge their phones, they have to rent a charger since they have no grid access or other form of electrical power.

The innovative companies below have seen an opportunity here, and are manufacturing and selling inexpensive solar lamps with special plug-ins for cellphones.

A Tool to Change the World

The San Francisco-based company d.light offers their d.light S250, a solar lamp with a mobile-phone charger that can provide up to 12 hours of light on a single day’s charge.

solar power investment

Currently on display in the British Museum, its curator Neil MacGregor has written a book A History of the World in 100 Objects, where he describes the d.light S250 as a tool that will change the world.

The S250 provides a highly efficient LED light that can illuminate an entire room and last over 50,000 hours. With four different brightness settings, it can provide up to 12 hours of bright light and 100 hours of bed light setting.

The S250 also offers the convenience of in-home mobile-phone charging. Designed with an outlet that can charge a wide range of mobile phones, it takes away the need for people to go out and rent costly chargers.

And the S250 is not alone; the company provides three different solar lantern models costing from $10 up to $45.

The company has really cracked into this market, and has sold more than a million lights in 40 countries. But d.light has even bigger goals for the future.

By the end of 2015, they hope to have their products in the hands of 50 million people. And by the end of 2020, they expect to have improved the quality of life of 100 million people.

Eight Minutes and Nineteen Seconds

Another smaller player trying to grab a piece of this growing market is Eight19. Based out of Cambridge, U.K., the company takes its name from the time it takes sunlight to reach the earth – eight minutes and nineteen seconds.

What separates Eight19 from d.light is its larger IndiGo system that includes a 2.5-watt solar panel (installed on the roof or a pole outside a home), a lithium-iron phosphate battery pack and two LED overhead lamps.

IndiGo solar panelThe cost for IndiGo is less than $50 and pays for itself in less than two year. And while the upfront price is too costly for many, Eight19 (along with other companies) offers a payment plan to make the system affordable.

Customers simply pay $10 for the system upfront and then pay a weekly fee for the power it generates. Every week, IndiGo users go to a local vendor and buy a scratch card for about $1. The card will give them a number that they then text to Eight19 for verification.

The company texts them back a code they put into a keypad that unlocks electricity from the device for a week, supplying power to the phone charger and LED lights.

While several competitors are trying a pay-as-you go system, Eight19 is ahead of the curve since they let customers upgrade their system once they have paid off their previous device (which takes about 18 months).

IndiGo customers can upgrade to bigger solar panels, larger batteries, more lights and the ability to power smaller devices.

It’s a great system. By using the money that would have been spent on renting cellphone charges and kerosene, customers can instead progressively build up their system.

Eventually a home could have enough power for larger appliances like refrigerators, or a sewing machine (something that can make them some money).

This technology can bring light and electricity not to just homes, but schools and workplaces in developing markets. Helping power internet connections, enabling laborers to work through the night and providing light for children to do their homework in the dark.

A Brighter Future for All

This is an incredible opportunity to invest in solar energy stocks. All the conditions are right for these solar power products to expand in emerging markets.

You have large, poor rural populations living in excessively sunny regions with no access to grid energy, who are also currently paying excessively high prices for their lighting needs.

For those who can even afford power, they spend a large portion of their income on kerosene for lamps (which provides no return) or have to travel to bigger towns a number of times a week to charge their phones.

Amid the declining cost of batteries, LED lighting and solar panels, in concert with inventive business plans, millions of households in Africa and other developing regions will continue to switch from unsophisticated kerosene lamps to safer and cleaner solar electrical lighting.

And while the companies mentioned above aren’t publicly traded, investors should keep an eye on the growing solar demand in emerging markets.

Two Solar Energy Stocks

Those who produce solar panels, like First Solar, Inc. (Nasdaq: FSLR), and manufacture polysilicon, like GT Advanced Technologies, Inc. (Nasdaq: GTAT), will start to see demand for their products increase as people with no access to grid energy continue to purchase products from companies like d.light and Eight19.

Good investing,

Ryan Fitzwater

Article by Investment U

Daily Dividend Report: SPG, PEP, ADM, WYNN, PRE

Simon Property Group (SPG) announced its quarterly dividend of 95 cents per share, an increase of about 6% over its prior dividend in November of 90 cents. The company also reported that it earned $363.8 million, or $1.24 a share, last quarter, compared with a profit of $218.8 million, or 74 cents a share, in the same period last year, beating analyst estimates of 90 cents.

Analyst Moves: APA, NOV

Apache (APA) was assigned a new outperform rating today by Credit Suisse (CS) with a $120 price target, as recent acquisition moves should lead to accelerated growth. Shares are higher by about 2.1 percent.

Friday Sector Leaders: General Contractors & Builders, Home Furnishings & Improvement Stocks

In trading on Friday, general contractors & builders shares were relative leaders, up on the day by about 4%. Leading the group were shares of M D C Holdings (MDC), up about 6.2% and shares of Lennar (LEN.

Coming to America? No Longer…

The Woodward Report: There’s No Business Like…Football!

In Forbes magazine’s rankings of the 50 most valuable sports clubs in the world, a majority are NFL clubs. But how can a sport with limited worldwide appeal outperform clubs that play the other kind of football (soccer), which marketing experts say has at least 10 times as many fans worldwide?

One answer lies in the very business model of NFL clubs, which requires all clubs to share revenue and accept competitive regulation.  It is a profitable form of socialism, and one that European football clubs may be heading towards.  Beginning with the 2012 season, UEFA will implement the Financial Fair Play Rules in hopes of balancing both team budgets and league competition.

Kurt Badenhausen of Forbes, Mike Davis and Richard Alm of SMU and Brett Daniels of the Dallas Cowboys talk about why this form of “socialism” is so profitable and whether it could ever work in the context of European football.

Producer/host:
Brian Woodward

Additional reporting:
Lasse Engelbrecht Jensen
Carina Møller Jensen

Legal information

Video courtesy of en.jyskebank.tv

Facebook Salaries Revealed

With Facebook’s IPO, their S1 filing revealed a lot of interesting,never before known information that has been now been made public. Andthat includes the nitty gritty of just how much Facebook’s topexecutives were paid In 2011. Its no surprise, CEO and cofounder MarkZuckerberg sat at the top of the salary pyramid in 2011. But you maybe surprised, its a lot more than what he’s going to get in 2012.This year, Zuckerberg’s annual salary will decrease to $1.That would be $483,332 dollars LESS than what he made last year, notto mention his $220,500 bonus.And last year he also received an additional $783,529 for personalcosts includingthe use of chartered aircrafts for friends and family, which isconsidered part of his security plan.But don’t feel too bad for the CEO with a $1 salary – after all, heowns 28.4% of Facebook which equates to roughly $25 billion dollars.

Earnings Wrap: EL, AON

Estee Lauder (EL) announced that quarterly profit increased to $396.7 million, or $1.00 per share, up from $343.9 million, or 86 cents per share, in the same period last year. Sales increased by ten percent to $2.74 billion.

Apple Exploring TV Components

Piper Jaffray (NYSE:PJC) continues to believe Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is arranging to launch a television after speaking to a major TV component supplier who was contacted by Apple regarding various capabilities of their television display components.The firm said it is confident that Apple will enter the connected TV market, but notes the timing remains uncertain. The firm thinks a television launch target is likely in late 2012 and keeps an Overweight rating on Apple shares.Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) has potential upside of 24.9% based on a current price of $458.41 and an average consensus analyst price target of $572.5.