Prepare for High Volatility in the Forex Market

Article by Investazor.com

This week has started with a shortage of the US dollar. Investors went for riskier currencies (Euro, Cable, Aussie, Kiwi, etc.), from the first hours of trading. The stock indices continued to trade sideways while gold and silver had a pretty interesting jump, but did not keep the gains.

This week can get very interesting starting with tomorrow. In the table below you will find the economic indicators that might have the highest impact on the Forex market and will be published in the economic calendars.

DateCurrencyForecastPrevious
TueNov 5AUDCash Rate2.50%2.50%
AUDRBA Rate Statement
JPYBOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks
CHFCPI m/m0.10%0.30%
GBPServices PMI60.460.3
USDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI54.254.4
NZDEmployment Change q/q0.50%0.40%
NZDUnemployment Rate6.20%6.40%
WedNov 6AUDTrade Balance-0.51B-0.82B
GBPManufacturing Production m/m1.20%-1.20%
CADBuilding Permits m/m7.80%-21.20%
CADIvey PMI54.751.9
ThuNov 7AUDEmployment Change10.3K9.1K
AUDUnemployment Rate5.70%5.60%
GBPAsset Purchase Facility375B375B
GBPOfficial Bank Rate0.50%0.50%
GBPMPC Rate Statement
EURMinimum Bid Rate0.50%0.50%
EURECB Press Conference
USDAdvance GDP q/q1.90%2.50%
USDUnemployment Claims332K340K
EURECB President Draghi Speaks
FriNov 8AUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement
CNYTrade Balance23.5B15.2B
CADEmployment Change15.3K11.9K
CADUnemployment Rate7.00%6.90%
USDNon-Farm Employment Change126K148K
USDUnemployment Rate7.30%7.20%
USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment74.673.2
USDFed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
SatNov 9CNYCPI y/y3.30%3.10%
CNYIndustrial Production y/y10.10%10.20%

By far one of the most important days is Thursday. Australia will announce its Employment Change and Unemployment Rate, but the main events are the MPC Rate Statement and the Minimum Bid Rate for the ECB, followed by the ECB press conference. And if this it isn’t enough, the United States will release their advanced GDP and Unemployment Claims.As you can see RBA will publish its cash rate and statement, Switzerland will release the CPI, Great Britain will have the Services PMI, United States will publish the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and New Zealand will announce it employment change and unemployment rate. Wednesday Australia will publish the Trade Balance, for Great Britain it will be released the Manufacturing Production and for Canada the Ivey PMI and Building Pemits.

Friday the party will continue with the RBA Monetary policy, China’s Trade Balance, the Canadian Unemployment rate and the well-known Non-Farm Employment Change, which Federal Reserve is observing closely, and Unemployment rate. The day will end with a speech from Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke.

The week will end with the Chinese CPI and Industrial Production on Saturday.

high-volatility-week-04.11.2013

During the publishing of these indicators and events the volatility will rise for the Forex Market, but not only. If there will be surprises from the Central Banks, changes in their Monetary Policy or big differences between the forecast values and the actual values of the indicators, we can expect for interesting moves.

It is recommended for traders to adjust their trading strategy for high volatility and also to reconsider their money management so that losses can be stopped as soon as possible.

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