10-Year Note Speculators sharply added to their net bearish positions this week

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10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large Treasury speculators continued to increase their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of -196,853 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday January 9th. This was a weekly decline of -121,013 contracts from the previous week which had a total of -75,840 net contracts.

The speculative level of the 10-Year Note futures has decreased three out of the past four weeks and has now fallen to the most bearish level since March 7th 2017 when net bearish positions totaled -298,514 contracts.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:


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The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 437,758 contracts on the week. This was a weekly rise of 145,548 contracts from the total net of 292,210 contracts reported the previous week.

IEF ETF:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) closed at approximately $104.6 which was a decrease of $-0.62 from the previous close of $105.22, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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