10-Year Note Speculators continued to boost their bullish bets this week

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10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions:

Large treasury speculators raised their bullish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets again this week, according to the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday.

The non-commercial futures contracts of 10-Year Note futures, traded by large speculators and hedge funds, totaled a net position of 123,936 contracts in the data reported through Tuesday November 28th. This was a weekly lift of 12,856 contracts from the previous week which had a total of 111,080 net contracts.

Speculative positions have now risen for four straight weeks following the huge decline (-150,873 contracts) that took place on October 31st. The overall net position is at the highest level since that week with a four week increase of +121,212 contracts.

10-Year Note Commercial Positions:


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The commercial traders position, hedgers or traders engaged in buying and selling for business purposes, totaled a net position of 86,636 contracts on the week. This was a weekly loss of -30,817 contracts from the total net of 117,453 contracts reported the previous week.

IEF ETF:

Over the same weekly reporting time-frame, from Tuesday to Tuesday, the 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF (IEF) closed at approximately $106.37 which was a gain of $0.34 from the previous close of $106.03, according to unofficial market data.

*COT Report: The COT data, released weekly to the public each Friday, is updated through the most recent Tuesday (data is 3 days old) and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers & traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).

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